Kenya faces sharply contrasting food-security risks due to a very strong El Niño, according to a new report. The country is expected to experience above-average rainfall, which could support drought recovery in many areas. However, heavy rains also increase flood risks in vulnerable regions.

The FEWS NET Special Report, published on October 6, highlights the dual impact of the weather pattern. While some areas may benefit from increased rainfall, others are at risk of flooding. The report warns that the situation could lead to both drought relief and flood challenges.

This El Niño event is part of a recurring weather pattern that affects East Africa. Previous El Niño events have caused both droughts and floods, creating complex challenges for food security. The current forecast suggests similar patterns may emerge.

The report urges preparedness for both scenarios. Local authorities are advised to monitor weather conditions closely and implement measures to mitigate flood risks. At the same time, efforts to support drought-affected communities should continue.

The situation underscores the unpredictable nature of climate patterns in the region. As Kenya prepares for the potential impacts of El Niño, the balance between recovery and risk remains a key concern for agricultural and humanitarian organizations.